Table 2: Probabilities for the 5 invasive procedures, at each of 17 situations in Figure 1 where an invasive procedures is required.
|
Situation in which disease requires or is given an invasive procedure.
|
LEEP |
Cold Knife Cone |
Laser Cone |
Laser Ablation |
Hyster-ectomy |
|
1: Watchful follow -> Dysp persists as CIN 1-> Req Inv |
0.5 |
0.15 |
0.12 |
0.2 |
0.03 |
|
2: Watchful follow -> CIN 1 -> Not req invasive -> Doc choose cryo -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Req Inv |
0.55 |
0.15 |
0.07 |
0.2 |
0.03 |
|
3: Watchful follow -> CIN 1 -> Not req invasive -> Doc choose cryo -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Not req inv -> Doc choose Inv |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
|
4: Watchful follow -> CIN 1 -> Not req invasive -> Doc choose invasive |
0.4 |
0 |
0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
51: Watchful follow -> CIN 2 -> Requires invasive |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
0.05 |
|
52: Watchful follow -> CIN 3 -> Requires invasive |
0.3 |
0.25 |
0.2 |
0 |
0.25 |
|
61: Watchful follow -> CIN 2 -> Not Req Inv -> Doc choose cryo -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Requires invasive |
0.3 |
0.25 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
|
71: Watchful follow -> CIN 2 -> Not Req Inv -> Doc choose cryo -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Not Req Inv -> Doc Choose Inv |
0.63 |
0.15 |
0.02 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
81: Watchful follow -> CIN 2 -> Not Req Inv -> Doc choose cryo -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Not Req Inv -> Doc Choose Cryo -> Cryo ineffective |
0.45 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
|
9: Watchful follow -> CIN 1 -> Not req invasive -> Cryo -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Not req inv -> Doc choose cryo -> Cryo ineffective |
0.4 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
0.25 |
0.1 |
|
101: Watchful follow -> CIN 2 -> Not req invasive -> Cryo -> Not cured -> Not viewable |
0.6 |
0.25 |
0.15 |
0 |
0 |
|
11: Watchful follow -> CIN 1 -> Not req invasive -> Cryo -> Not cured -> Not viewable |
0.9 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0 |
0 |
|
121: Watchful follow -> CIN 2 -> Not Req Inv -> Doc choose invasive |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.07 |
0.2 |
0.03 |
|
13: Immediate cryotherapy -> Not cured -> Not viewable |
0.9 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0 |
0 |
|
14: Immediate cryotherapy -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Requires invasive procedure |
0.55 |
0.15 |
0.07 |
0.2 |
0.03 |
|
15: Immediate cryotherapy -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Not req inv -> Doc choose invasive |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.05 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
|
16: Immediate cryotherapy -> Not cured -> Viewable -> Not req inv -> Doc choose cryo -> cryo ineffective |
0.4 |
0.15 |
0.1 |
0.25 |
0.1 |
Note: Situation numbers identify the location in the decision tree (Figure 1) at which the 5 branched node (Figure 4) has the above probabilities.
Return to
text at http://www.fammed.ouhsc.edu/robhamm/mcd4/jfp97txt.htm.